"Robin Hanson [said] 'You don’t have winners unless you have losers. And so you need a lot of losers to fund the winners,' he said, arguing ...

“Alongside water pipes, sewers, and animatronic control systems, these power lines lace the walls and ceilings of the utilidors, meaning the...

I talk w/ UVA business profs on prediction markets: https://ideasstage.darden.virginia.edu/good-disruption-prediction-markets

Whenever you put AIs in charge of something important, you have to wonder how the firms which make them will respond to various pressures fr...

"Chinese AI+ Plan doesn’t mention competition at all, nor does it even mention America. Its focus is on diffusion, standards-setting, & maki...

“These views are rooted in a once-fringe Silicon Valley ideology called 'transhumanism.' Transhumanists believe that technology will allow u...

I'm doing this DC event today: https://luma.com/groundwork_dc

If you want to do X, have a big $, & know of experts on X, the 1 thing elites agree on is that you must NOT directly approach those experts....

"a network’s parts are built to be read, and built upon, by its downstream readers. In this sense, a neural network is almost a fractal of e...

The huge space of AI hardware innovation: https://spectrum.ieee.org/inference-hardware-revolution

17% chance of "before 2028: a verified proof that P = NP, that P ≠ NP, or that the question cannot be decided in standard mathematics (indep...

To check robustness, I redid this w/ 5 LLMs over 9 periods. See the post. https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/2109447753625661483

"Opposing comments increase reactions, comments, and link clicks by 15-43% relative to no comments, whereas supportive comments have little ...

"I often hear, that if tokens get cheaper, demand will go up. That’s Jevons Paradox. Sure, elasticity works. But if prices drop 90%, demand ...

Does this mean they've run out of data, so find little value in training AIs on data anymore? https://twitter.com/socialcapital/status/21072...

It seems that few expect big impact in non-math areas from these big new math results. Which suggests that math has long been in its own lit...

"drove across a lot of Ohio in the last week or so, and you see in every little town, there's people on their lawns, they have political sig...

For most of us, our associates hold lots of valuable info re our social skills and styles, info they do NOT share with us. Market doesn't ye...

"AI writing is absent before 2023, present in 29% of dissertations filed in 2026, and rapidly growing." https://www.nber.org/papers/w35859?u...

"computers really do operate on symbolic representations of the world. They really store and retrieve. They really process. They really have...