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Forethought’s @TomDavidsonX argues the real turning point for AI won’t be a researcher proving an explosive feedback loop, it’ll be an incident the public can actually see: "I'm skeptical that nerdy analyses about explosive feedback loops is gonna be what convinces the public. It's gonna be incidents. Hugging Face, government hacks." "If it's just a nerd from Anthropic being like, 'We did the math, and we think this thing's gonna explode,' we've kind of already had them say that." "The…
So, exactly how big will the intelligence explosion be? …Ten years of AI progress in a year? In a month? Our new paper tackles this question head-on. I've researched AI takeoff speeds for many years. This is my best stab at an answer.🧵 https://t.co/1JMEnxtdbr