Press Space to continue
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Press Space to continue
Press Space to continue
.@AdamThierer calls out the AI safety community's obsession with p(doom), arguing that putting a percentage on human extinction doesn't make it science: "Everybody wants to know what’s your p(doom)? I’m never one to play that game because we’re talking about subjective probabilities or feelings dressed up as hard math. Just because there’s a percentage after these guesses does not mean that they’re hard science." "We should absolutely think about those risks, but we shouldn’t sell it to the…
eventually we’ll add “p(doom)” nonsense about AI to the “The Consensus Trap” list. [From a new @WSJ oped by Steven E. Koonin and Scott W. Atlas on how the Consensus Trap led to policy debacles when some argued “the science is settled!” in an attempt to foreclose vital debate.]