AI labs may already have enough data to mathematically calculate

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AI labs may already have enough data to mathematically calculate whether a software-only singularity is coming. @TomDavidsonX explains why the rest of the world can't know the answer: "The hardware loop is gonna be slow. Building fabs takes years. The scariest thing is that maybe even without the hardware loop, that's by itself enough to explode, and that is the thing which scarily is actually pretty plausible." "The most important thing in the world right now is just the AI companies…

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A new piece revisits Davidson & Houlden's "How quick and big would a software intelligence explosion be?". It argues that some of that paper's arguments for a fast SIE – such as the "undertrained" nature of the human brain relative to "Chinchilla optimal" scaling – are weak, and that the fastest version of an SIE is therefore less likely (though it could still be quite fast). Read it here: https://t.co/JKz22lbXBF (See Davidson & Houlden 2026 here: https://t.co/EvxbHMR7EX)

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