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Jerry Tworek on the brutal economics of frontier AI: secure enough compute or die, but Anthropic proves the door isn't closed "Anthropic did an amazing feat securing compute. How many companies were around that time that did it? Maybe 10. If you think about it as 10% chance of securing that amount of compute, it's pretty amazing." "I don't think we have seen yet a huge company with a lot of compute failing and completely falling behind." "When I'm starting a company, I hear probably every…
FULL INTERVIEW: Jerry Tworek says AI researchers now tell each other they have a last few days of work left, so work while you still can. He gives it two years before humans stop being a meaningful part of AI research. @MillionInt spent 7 years at @OpenAI, where he led o1 and o3 and built the original Codex. He left in January to found @CoreAutoAI, and joined @theojaffee and @schisofrenia to lay out his contrarian bet against the transformer: 01:18 the third generation of AI labs 03:43 why the agents execute and the humans still generate the insight 06:42 two years before humans are vestigial in AI research 09:09 why creative writing lags coding, and it isn't a research problem 11:08 if you aren't the lab with the highest compute footprint, you die 11:20 roughly 10 companies had a shot at Anthropic's position 13:16 his most contrarian thesis, and why he won't just train transformers 15:31 what's actually wrong with the transformer 17:23 seven years at OpenAI, three or four attempts at a new architecture 19:30 all of us are neo clouds with a value add on top 22:38 why the Hugging Face model wasn't well behaved 23:49 the alignment problems of yesterday, and how well they went 27:42 why he's proud of how OpenAI handled 4o 29:02 the 30 to 50 people in the world who understand a frontier model end to end 32:09 why automation should start with the biggest companies 36:00 Greek philosophers or high school 37:31 Ilya's 2019 all-hands, and the roadmap that turned out to be right 40:30 the moment Jakub handed him the GPUs 42:32 the company is the product