I don't think there will be strong+working mech interp in <1 | Tech Twitter

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I don't think there will be strong+working mech interp in <1 | Tech Twitter

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I don't think there will be strong+working mech interp in <1 year. Model internals methods could pareto dominate cot monitors in a year via cot losing ~all value, but this isn't exactly encouraging. Depending on AIs decoding other AI's opaque activations for oversight is spooky

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