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The way to the reconcile capability level of AI vs. GDP impact is that the diffusion of AI will take much longer than people think. And it will also show up in ways that are hard to measure in GDP immediately. You could bring the world’s greatest superintelligence to many workflows, and still be bound by the laws of corporate physics: getting data prepared and put into a pipeline, process reengineering and change management, aligning on how the new workflow should function, and so on. Even…
Not enough people are seriously trying to reconcile the two facts: - models can now resolve Millennium Problems - annualized US GDP growth is at 1.5%