Anthropic modeled the economic impact of AI and their extreme scenario is WILD: > unemployment: 11.9% > knowledge worker unemployment: 17.9% > knowledge worker wages: -11.5% > knowledge worker employment: -21.5% > GDP: +32.4% > labor’s share of income: 60% → 45.2% so it basically reflects what Dario has said: the economy gets dramatically richer while the average worker gets absolutely wrecked. there is also a “modest” scenario in which the impact is les substantial: > unemployment: 3.9% >…

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Anthropic’s Economics team is sharing a new model of how AI might affect economic growth, jobs, wages, and more by 2030. Explore the scenarios, tell us what you think will happen, and see how your answers compare to more than 10,000 Americans. https://www.anthropic.com/institute/econ-scenarios